Bohemians 1905 4-1 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+4.6pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.0pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.1pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 51%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -69% / -69%
0.41/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/2.83
-70% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -55%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
4-1
AWAY Paksi SE
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 ran out comfortable winners over Paksi SE 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Paksi SE at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 58% of the ball to Paksi SE's 42%, shots finished 11-12.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Paksi SE?

Bohemians 1905 4-1 Paksi SE in the Friendlies on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paksi SE win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 33%, draw 22%, Paksi SE 45%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paksi SE) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paksi SE) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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