Piast Gliwice 2-1 Karvina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
32%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
55%
-9.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.9pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Karvina EU Bookmakers 24%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
4.12/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.64/2.70
+126% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +124% / -36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
2-1
AWAY Karvina
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Piast Gliwice vs Karvina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Piast Gliwice edged past Karvina 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Piast Gliwice as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 54% of the ball to Karvina's 46%, shots finished 9-3.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Karvina?

Piast Gliwice 2-1 Karvina in the Friendlies on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Karvina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 45%, draw 23%, Karvina 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Piast Gliwice), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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