CSKA Moskova 4-0 OFK Beograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
77%
-10.2pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.1pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+7.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.7pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY OFK Beograd EU Bookmakers 11%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+99% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
491 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs OFK Beograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova cruised past OFK Beograd 4-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CSKA Moskova as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs OFK Beograd?

CSKA Moskova 4-0 OFK Beograd in the Friendlies on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs OFK Beograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 67%, draw 18%, OFK Beograd 15%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Moskova), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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