04/07/2024
·
05:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
AMSG vs Seahorses Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
74%
19%
Draw
15%
14%
Away Win
11%
35%
Under 2.5
28%
65%
Over 2.5
72%
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
42%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AMSG v Seahorses — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
AMSG
EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY
Seahorses
EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-21% /
-21%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-72%
/
-32%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
19
Total Shots
6
9
Shots on Target
2
6
Corners
3
445 · 86%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
286 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
AMSG vs Seahorses
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
AMSG edged past Seahorses 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had AMSG as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of AMSG vs Seahorses?
AMSG 2-1 Seahorses in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AMSG vs Seahorses?
Before kick-off our model rated a AMSG win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split AMSG 67%, draw 19%, Seahorses 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AMSG), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (AMSG)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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USL2
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4 Jul 2024