04/07/2024
·
02:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-1
2nd Score
2-1
Lansing City vs Oakland County Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
17%
Draw
24%
32%
Away Win
31%
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
45%
BTTS No
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lansing City v Oakland County — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Lansing City
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Oakland County
EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
16
6
Shots on Target
8
4
Corners
4
309 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
350 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Lansing City vs Oakland County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Lansing City beat Oakland County 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lansing City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Lansing City vs Oakland County?
Lansing City 2-0 Oakland County in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lansing City vs Oakland County?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lansing City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lansing City 50%, draw 17%, Oakland County 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lansing City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Lansing City)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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USL2
More USA - USL League 2
4 Jul 2024