River Light 3-2 Sueno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 4 Jul 2024

📅04/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-14.8pp
25%
Draw
19%
+6.3pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME River Light EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sueno EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
22 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
442 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH River Light vs Sueno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

River Light edged past Sueno 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had River Light as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of River Light vs Sueno?

River Light 3-2 Sueno in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for River Light vs Sueno?

Before kick-off our model rated a River Light win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split River Light 51%, draw 25%, Sueno 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (River Light), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (River Light) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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