Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-3 Peninsula Power — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.99
Draw
18%
3.94
Away
56%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.39
No
35%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-3.5pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.7pp
56%
Away Win
49%
+7.1pp
65%
BTTS Yes
68%
-3.1pp
35%
BTTS No
32%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 53%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.34/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.51
-28% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -5%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.3 Crosses 16.3
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Peninsula Power
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.84 xG 0.62
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
297 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2026 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
21.06.2025 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-2 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
22.03.2025 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
13.08.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 6-0 HT 3-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
06.05.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
20.07.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
POST-MATCH Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Peninsula Power
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power saw off Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane and 2.00 for Peninsula Power.

What was the final score of Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Peninsula Power?

Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-3 Peninsula Power in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane vs Peninsula Power?

Before kick-off our model rated an Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 26%, draw 18%, Peninsula Power 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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