Egersunds 3-0 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.92
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.8
2-3 Goals
41%
2.02
4-5 Goals
27%
2.43
6+ Goals
13%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
48%
+3.8pp
18%
Draw
24%
-6.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.1pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Egersunds EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.72/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.88
-7% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Egersunds
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Moss
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2025 Egersunds Egersunds 2-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
28.06.2025 Moss Moss 2-4 HT 1-2 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
26.08.2024 Egersunds Egersunds 3-2 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
27.04.2024 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 1-1 Egersunds Egersunds NOR1
08.10.2022 Egersunds Egersunds 2-2 HT 1-1 Moss Moss NOR3
26.06.2022 Moss Moss 2-0 HT 1-0 Egersunds Egersunds NOR3
POST-MATCH Egersunds vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Egersunds swept aside Moss 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Egersunds as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Egersunds had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Egersunds and 1.50 for Moss.

What was the final score of Egersunds vs Moss?

Egersunds 3-0 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Egersunds vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Egersunds win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Egersunds 52%, draw 18%, Moss 30%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Egersunds), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Egersunds) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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