Tucson 4-1 Stars FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.66
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
10%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
29%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
56%
+14.3pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
10%
Away Win
22%
-12.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.9pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tucson EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Stars FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+9% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tucson
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Stars FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
14.07.2025 Tucson 0-0 HT 0-0 Stars FC USL2
21.05.2025 Stars FC 2-5 HT 1-2 Tucson USL2
POST-MATCH Tucson vs Stars FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tucson ran out comfortable winners over Stars FC 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tucson as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tucson had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Tucson and 1.00 for Stars FC.

What was the final score of Tucson vs Stars FC?

Tucson 4-1 Stars FC in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tucson vs Stars FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tucson win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Tucson 70%, draw 20%, Stars FC 10%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tucson), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tucson) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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