Ceske Budejovice 1-3 FK Pardubice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.77
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
25%
3.23
6+ Goals
9%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceske Budejovice EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Pardubice EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
0.79/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.33
-9% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
259 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.9 Crosses 14.3
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceske Budejovice
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.62 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
250 Passes 335
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 29
26 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-2 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
07.04.2024 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
28.10.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
30.04.2023 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice ÇEK
31.07.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 0-2 HT 0-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
05.03.2022 FK Pardubice FK Pardubice 3-3 HT 1-1 Ceske Budejovice Ceske Budejovice ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceske Budejovice
1-3
AWAY FK Pardubice
1.51 xG 0.87
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
406 Passes 184
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
37 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ceske Budejovice vs FK Pardubice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Pardubice beat Ceske Budejovice 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Ceske Budejovice at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ceske Budejovice had 64% of the ball to FK Pardubice's 36%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.51 to 0.87 — on chances, Ceske Budejovice could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Ceske Budejovice and 1.50 for FK Pardubice.

What was the final score of Ceske Budejovice vs FK Pardubice?

Ceske Budejovice 1-3 FK Pardubice in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceske Budejovice vs FK Pardubice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceske Budejovice win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ceske Budejovice 44%, draw 25%, FK Pardubice 31%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ceske Budejovice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceske Budejovice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
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