ADT vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ADT v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
ADT vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Atletico Grau
PER
1-1
HT 1-1
ADT
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Atletico Grau
PER
4-1
HT 3-0
ADT
PER
ADT 1-2 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Grau edged past ADT 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was ADT at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, ADT had 62% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 38%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 2.44 to 1.90 — the balance of chances actually favoured ADT.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for ADT and 1.60 for Atletico Grau.
What was the final score of ADT vs Atletico Grau?
ADT 1-2 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ADT vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split ADT 52%, draw 29%, Atletico Grau 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.