Cesar Vallejo 0-2 Deportivo Garcilaso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-4.0pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesar Vallejo EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso EU Bookmakers 22%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.56/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.66
+17% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
20.5 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesar Vallejo
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
289 Passes 251
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2024 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 2-0 HT 0-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
28.08.2023 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso 1-0 HT 1-0 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo PER
11.04.2023 Cesar Vallejo Cesar Vallejo 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso Deportivo Garcilaso PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesar Vallejo
0-2
AWAY Deportivo Garcilaso
0.58 xG 1.13
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 1
342 Passes 130
76% Pass Accuracy 55%
17 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo Garcilaso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Garcilaso saw off Cesar Vallejo 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cesar Vallejo at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 66% of the ball to Deportivo Garcilaso's 34%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 0.58 to 1.13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Garcilaso led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 1.00 for Deportivo Garcilaso.

What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Cesar Vallejo 0-2 Deportivo Garcilaso in the Peru - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Deportivo Garcilaso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesar Vallejo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 53%, draw 22%, Deportivo Garcilaso 25%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesar Vallejo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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