Makhachkala 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.36
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.13
6+ Goals
10%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
3.18
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.25
X/1
11%
4.48
X/2
14%
6.45
X/X
18%
3.75
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
8%
5.31
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 16.8
Yellow Cards 2.2
POST-MATCH Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod edged past Makhachkala 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Makhachkala at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Makhachkala 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Makhachkala win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 44%, draw 29%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Makhachkala) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Makhachkala) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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