FC Akhmat Grozny 0-5 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.38
Over 2.5
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.04
2-3 Goals
35%
1.96
4-5 Goals
30%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.19
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.33
1/2
9%
21.85
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
10%
6.93
X/2
15%
5.05
X/X
7%
5.75
2/1
11%
28.5
2/2
21%
2.8
2/X
9%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.5pp
44%
Away Win
44%
+0.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.2pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
0.96/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.28
-18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
15.0 Crosses 16.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 Passes 356
70% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-2 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
11.11.2023 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-1 HT 0-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
11.03.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
04.09.2022 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
19.03.2022 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 2-3 HT 2-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
20.11.2021 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
0-5
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.88 xG 2.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
311 Passes 284
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow ran out comfortable winners over FC Akhmat Grozny 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lokomotiv Moscow as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 52% of the ball to Lokomotiv Moscow's 48%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 0.88 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.67 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

FC Akhmat Grozny 0-5 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 32%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv Moscow 44%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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