Dundalk 4-1 Longford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
9%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
45%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
3%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
71%
+0.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.7pp
9%
Away Win
11%
-2.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.4pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Longford Town EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.81/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.99
-18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
444 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Longford Town
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
26.04.2025 Longford Town Longford Town 0-3 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İR1
21.03.2025 Dundalk Dundalk 2-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
29.07.2022 Dundalk Dundalk 4-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRK
07.11.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
11.09.2021 Longford Town Longford Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
18.06.2021 Dundalk Dundalk 1-1 HT 1-1 Longford Town Longford Town İRL
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Longford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk swept aside Longford Town 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dundalk and 0.50 for Longford Town.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Longford Town?

Dundalk 4-1 Longford Town in the Ireland - 1st Division on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Longford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 72%, draw 20%, Longford Town 9%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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