Oriente Petrolero 3-0 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.3pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.14/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.36
+22% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
209 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 72%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.6 Crosses 15.3
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oriente Petrolero
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aurora
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.93 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
244 Passes 255
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2025 Aurora Aurora 5-1 HT 3-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
25.09.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 5-0 HT 3-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
13.05.2024 Aurora Aurora 3-1 HT 3-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
13.11.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 1-0 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
15.05.2023 Aurora Aurora 2-2 HT 1-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
21.04.2022 Aurora Aurora 1-1 HT 0-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oriente Petrolero
3-0
AWAY Aurora
1.85 xG 0.34
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
270 Passes 181
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
24 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oriente Petrolero cruised past Aurora 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Oriente Petrolero as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Oriente Petrolero had 57% of the ball to Aurora's 43%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.85 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Oriente Petrolero and 1.83 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Oriente Petrolero 3-0 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oriente Petrolero vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oriente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Oriente Petrolero 47%, draw 26%, Aurora 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oriente Petrolero) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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