Rancho Santana 0-1 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 4 Aug 2025

Rancho Santana
0-1
Real Esteli
📅04/08/2025 · 🕒05:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Nikaragua - Premier League – 2025/2026

Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
5.91
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
71%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
31%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
14%
-3.6pp
19%
Draw
20%
-1.1pp
70%
Away Win
66%
+4.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rancho Santana v Real Esteli — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rancho Santana EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 70%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
0.50/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.06
-53% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
275 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rancho Santana
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.25
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2025 Real Esteli Real Esteli 3-0 HT 2-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
19.01.2025 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 3-2 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
06.10.2024 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Esteli Real Esteli NİK
03.08.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 5-0 HT 3-0 Rancho Santana Rancho Santana NİK
POST-MATCH Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Esteli nicked a narrow win over Rancho Santana 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Esteli as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Esteli led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rancho Santana and 3.25 for Real Esteli.

What was the final score of Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli?

Rancho Santana 0-1 Real Esteli in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rancho Santana vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Esteli win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Rancho Santana 10%, draw 19%, Real Esteli 70%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Esteli) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Esteli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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