UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Cusco FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
45%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
45%
Away Win
48%
-2.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 52%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.27/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.91/1.12
+29% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -39%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
229 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
19.1 Crosses 27.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cusco FC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.44
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
208 Passes 320
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
19.07.2024 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
02.02.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 1-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
26.06.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
27.03.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 0-0 HT 0-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
13.08.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 2-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
1-2
AWAY Cusco FC
0.44 xG 1.46
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
235 Passes 401
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
10 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC squeezed past UTC Cajamarca 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 39% of the ball to Cusco FC's 61%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.44 to 1.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UTC Cajamarca had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.00 for Cusco FC.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC?

UTC Cajamarca 1-2 Cusco FC in the Peru - Premier League on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Cusco FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 24%, draw 30%, Cusco FC 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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