Filipinler 0-1 Tayland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFF Championship, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
7.18
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
60%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
44%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
11%
+5.6pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.8pp
60%
Away Win
71%
-11.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Filipinler EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Tayland EU Bookmakers 75%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.60/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.55
+125% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -18%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
290 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 83%
7.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.4
12.6 Crosses 20.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Filipinler
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Tayland
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.66 xG 2.05
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
311 Passes 416
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.12.2024 Tayland Tayland 3-1 HT 1-0 Filipinler Filipinler AFF
27.12.2024 Filipinler Filipinler 2-1 HT 1-1 Tayland Tayland AFF
11.10.2024 Tayland Tayland 3-1 HT 0-0 Filipinler Filipinler KRALK
26.12.2022 Tayland Tayland 4-0 HT 2-0 Filipinler Filipinler AFF
14.12.2021 Filipinler Filipinler 1-2 HT 0-1 Tayland Tayland AFF
21.11.2018 Filipinler Filipinler 1-1 HT 0-0 Tayland Tayland AFF
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Filipinler
0-1
AWAY Tayland
0.42 xG 1.09
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
177 Passes 465
11 Box Touches 17
9 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Filipinler vs Tayland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tayland edged past Filipinler 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tayland as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.42 to 1.09.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tayland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Filipinler and 2.33 for Tayland.

What was the final score of Filipinler vs Tayland?

Filipinler 0-1 Tayland in the AFF Championship on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Filipinler vs Tayland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tayland win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Filipinler 17%, draw 24%, Tayland 60%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tayland), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tayland) ✓ BTTS No
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