Al Nassr 0-2 Almeria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
50%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.37
2-3 Goals
43%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
8%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 29% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
50%
Away Win
47%
+3.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nassr EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Almeria EU Bookmakers 50%
+57% / +57% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
6.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.44
+150% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
45.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nassr
0-2
AWAY Almeria
1.32 xG 1.79
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 2
403 Passes 368
12 Box Touches 13
9 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Nassr vs Almeria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria saw off Al Nassr 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.32 to 1.79.

What was the final score of Al Nassr vs Almeria?

Al Nassr 0-2 Almeria in the Friendlies on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nassr vs Almeria?

Before kick-off our model rated an Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Nassr 24%, draw 26%, Almeria 50%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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