Bournemouth 10-1 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.95
4-5 Goals
23%
2.66
6+ Goals
13%
6.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
21%
4.3
X/2
8%
11.45
X/X
12%
6.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
19.4
2/2
9%
8.36
2/X
6%
16.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.4 — our 7% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 21%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
3.82/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/1.59
+90% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% / +8%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
POST-MATCH Bournemouth vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bournemouth ran out comfortable winners over Genoa 10-1. Half-time: 2-1. 11 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bournemouth as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 10-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Bournemouth vs Genoa?

Bournemouth 10-1 Genoa in the Friendlies on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bournemouth vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bournemouth win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Bournemouth 55%, draw 22%, Genoa 22%. The final score 10-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bournemouth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bournemouth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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