Jeju United 1-2 Bayern Münih — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 4 Aug 2026

📅04/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
7.78
Draw
20%
7.13
Away
68%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.39
No
36%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
15.35
2-3 Goals
33%
3.23
4-5 Goals
29%
2.25
6+ Goals
17%
2.27
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
22%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
10%
+2.7pp
20%
Draw
11%
+8.7pp
68%
Away Win
79%
-11.4pp
64%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.3pp
36%
BTTS No
32%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jeju United EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Münih EU Bookmakers 84%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +54%
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
255 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 503 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 44.4
Crosses 17.3
Yellow Cards 0.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jeju United
1-2
AWAY Bayern Münih
0.34 xG 2.64
5 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
216 Passes 575
11 Box Touches 53
9 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jeju United vs Bayern Münih
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern Münih nicked a narrow win over Jeju United 2-1 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bayern Münih as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 5-25, expected goals 0.34 to 2.64 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bayern Münih's control.

What was the final score of Jeju United vs Bayern Münih?

Jeju United 1-2 Bayern Münih in the Friendlies on 04/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jeju United vs Bayern Münih?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern Münih win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Jeju United 12%, draw 20%, Bayern Münih 68%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern Münih), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayern Münih) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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