Deportivo Tachira 0-1 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 4 Sep 2025

📅04/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
37%
4-5
23%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Tachira The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas The Market 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Tachira
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Monagas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 1.06
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
329 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.08.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VENK
14.07.2025 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 2-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
31.01.2025 Monagas Monagas 1-4 HT 1-2 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
16.09.2024 Monagas Monagas 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
21.03.2024 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira 1-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
25.09.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Tachira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Tachira
0-1
AWAY Monagas
63% Ball Possession 37%
22 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Tachira 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Tachira at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Deportivo Tachira had 63% of the ball to Monagas's 37%, shots finished 22-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Tachira had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Tachira and 0.67 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?

Deportivo Tachira 0-1 Monagas in the VENK on 04/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Tachira vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Tachira win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Tachira 45%, draw 24%, Monagas 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Tachira), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Tachira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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