Newtown 2-4 Flint Town United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Oct 2024

Newtown
2-4 HT 1-2
Flint Town United
📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Wales - Premier League – 2024/2025

Newtown vs Flint Town United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 27% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.1pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Newtown v Flint Town United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newtown EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Flint Town United EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -17%
1.89/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/2.05
+25% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
383 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2

Newtown vs Flint Town United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newtown
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Flint Town United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.11.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-4 HT 1-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
19.08.2022 Newtown Newtown 0-2 HT 0-2 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
23.04.2022 Flint Town United Flint Town United 1-1 HT 0-0 Newtown Newtown GAL
02.04.2022 Newtown Newtown 2-1 HT 2-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
18.12.2021 Newtown Newtown 2-0 HT 1-0 Flint Town United Flint Town United GAL
11.09.2021 Flint Town United Flint Town United 4-1 HT 3-0 Newtown Newtown GAL

Newtown 2-4 Flint Town United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newtown
2-4
AWAY Flint Town United
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Newtown vs Flint Town United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint Town United beat Newtown 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Newtown at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Newtown had 56% of the ball to Flint Town United's 44%, shots finished 11-18.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newtown had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Newtown and 1.50 for Flint Town United.

What was the final score of Newtown vs Flint Town United?

Newtown 2-4 Flint Town United in the Wales - Premier League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newtown vs Flint Town United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newtown win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Newtown 44%, draw 29%, Flint Town United 27%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Newtown) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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