Connahs Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.6
2-3 Goals
39%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.63
6+ Goals
13%
6.26
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-15.0pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.8pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Connahs Quay EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberystwyth Town EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
2.18/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/2.56
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Connahs Quay
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2024 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
06.10.2023 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 1-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
18.08.2023 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 4-0 HT 4-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
20.12.2022 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay 3-0 HT 1-0 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town GAL
16.09.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
23.04.2022 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Connahs Quay Connahs Quay GAL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Connahs Quay
3-0
AWAY Aberystwyth Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Connahs Quay cruised past Aberystwyth Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Connahs Quay as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Connahs Quay had 61% of the ball to Aberystwyth Town's 39%, shots finished 11-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Connahs Quay had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Connahs Quay and 0.83 for Aberystwyth Town.

What was the final score of Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Connahs Quay 3-0 Aberystwyth Town in the Wales - Premier League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Connahs Quay vs Aberystwyth Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Connahs Quay win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Connahs Quay 57%, draw 23%, Aberystwyth Town 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Connahs Quay), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Connahs Quay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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