Bala Town 0-2 Haverfordwest County — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - Premier League, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.13
No
64%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
5.99
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.8pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.6pp
36%
BTTS Yes
43%
-6.4pp
64%
BTTS No
57%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bala Town EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Haverfordwest County EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.07/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.29
-5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bala Town
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Haverfordwest County
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
13.01.2024 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 2-3 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
21.10.2023 Bala Town Bala Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
22.10.2022 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-4 HT 1-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
20.08.2022 Bala Town Bala Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County GAL
11.12.2021 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 0-0 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GAL
16.10.2021 Haverfordwest County Haverfordwest County 1-3 HT 0-0 Bala Town Bala Town GALWK
POST-MATCH Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Haverfordwest County beat Bala Town 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Haverfordwest County made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bala Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Bala Town and 0.83 for Haverfordwest County.

What was the final score of Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Bala Town 0-2 Haverfordwest County in the Wales - Premier League on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bala Town vs Haverfordwest County?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bala Town win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Bala Town 33%, draw 33%, Haverfordwest County 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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