Leeds United U21 2-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.89
Over 2.5
47%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.38
No
52%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.0pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
31%
+22.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
69%
-22.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
68%
-20.5pp
52%
BTTS No
32%
+20.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leeds United U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 400 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leeds United U21
0W-0D-1L
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
2.71 xG 2.75
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 5
445 Passes 296
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.04.2024 West Bromwich Albion U21 West Bromwich Albion U21 4-2 HT 3-0 Leeds United U21 Leeds United U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leeds United U21
2-1
AWAY West Bromwich Albion U21
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
362 Passes 299
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leeds United U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leeds United U21 edged past West Bromwich Albion U21 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; Leeds United U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Leeds United U21 had 55% of the ball to West Bromwich Albion U21's 45%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Leeds United U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Leeds United U21 2-1 West Bromwich Albion U21 in the INGPL2 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leeds United U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leeds United U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leeds United U21 40%, draw 23%, West Bromwich Albion U21 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leeds United U21) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Leeds United U21) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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