Stoke City U21 1-3 Middlesbrough U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-0.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.6pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stoke City U21 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+59% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
342 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stoke City U21
1-3
AWAY Middlesbrough U21
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
246 Passes 278
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stoke City U21 vs Middlesbrough U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Middlesbrough U21 got the better of Stoke City U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Middlesbrough U21 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Stoke City U21 had 48% of the ball to Middlesbrough U21's 52%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of Stoke City U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Stoke City U21 1-3 Middlesbrough U21 in the INGPL2 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stoke City U21 vs Middlesbrough U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Middlesbrough U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stoke City U21 33%, draw 24%, Middlesbrough U21 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Middlesbrough U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Middlesbrough U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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