Nottingham Forest U21 0-2 Southampton U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — INGPL2, 4 Oct 2024

📅04/10/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.74
Over 2.5
51%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
15%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
33%
+16.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
67%
-16.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.6pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/3.01
-100% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -19%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
403 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 16.5
5.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Southampton U21
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 0.58
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
314 Passes 563
81% Pass Accuracy 91%
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Southampton U21 Southampton U21 1-1 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest U21 Nottingham Forest U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest U21
0-2
AWAY Southampton U21
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 2
510 Passes 372
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest U21 vs Southampton U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 got the better of Nottingham Forest U21 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest U21 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nottingham Forest U21 had 58% of the ball to Southampton U21's 42%, shots finished 17-10.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest U21 vs Southampton U21?

Nottingham Forest U21 0-2 Southampton U21 in the INGPL2 on 04/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest U21 vs Southampton U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest U21 41%, draw 26%, Southampton U21 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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