Southampton U21 1-1 Nottingham Forest U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.68
Over 2.5
66%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.35
No
33%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
61%
-12.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.7pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.9pp
34%
Under 2.5
24%
+10.9pp
66%
Over 2.5
76%
-10.9pp
67%
BTTS Yes
70%
-3.4pp
33%
BTTS No
30%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southampton U21 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.82/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.27
+93% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +57%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
379 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.5 Crosses 9.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southampton U21
1-1
AWAY Nottingham Forest U21
0.58 xG 1.45
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
563 Passes 314
91% Pass Accuracy 81%
11 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Southampton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southampton U21 and Nottingham Forest U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Southampton U21 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (67%) landed while over 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Southampton U21 had 61% of the ball to Nottingham Forest U21's 39%, shots finished 6-10, expected goals 0.58 to 1.45.

What was the final score of Southampton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Southampton U21 1-1 Nottingham Forest U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southampton U21 vs Nottingham Forest U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southampton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Southampton U21 48%, draw 23%, Nottingham Forest U21 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Southampton U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Southampton U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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