Everton U21 2-3 Blackburn Rovers U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
38%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
3.59
Over 2.5
72%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.33
No
35%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-1.3pp
38%
Away Win
24%
+13.6pp
28%
Under 2.5
24%
+4.0pp
72%
Over 2.5
76%
-4.0pp
65%
BTTS Yes
71%
-6.2pp
35%
BTTS No
29%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Everton U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackburn Rovers U21 EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
1.93/1.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.13
+2% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +116% / +121%
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
387 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 3.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Everton U21
2-3
AWAY Blackburn Rovers U21
1.99 xG 1.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
332 Passes 345
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
11 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Everton U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackburn Rovers U21 edged past Everton U21 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Everton U21 at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (65%) came in.

On the day, Everton U21 had 49% of the ball to Blackburn Rovers U21's 51%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.99 to 1.48 — the balance of chances actually favoured Everton U21.

What was the final score of Everton U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21?

Everton U21 2-3 Blackburn Rovers U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Everton U21 vs Blackburn Rovers U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Everton U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Everton U21 44%, draw 18%, Blackburn Rovers U21 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Everton U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Everton U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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