Crystal Palace U21 2-2 Chelsea U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.32
Draw
32%
4.19
Away
42%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.32
No
38%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
29%
2/X
18%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
20%
+11.3pp
42%
Away Win
53%
-11.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.5pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.2pp
38%
BTTS No
28%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crystal Palace U21 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U21 EU Bookmakers 57%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.64/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/0.89
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
332 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 26.0
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crystal Palace U21
2-2
AWAY Chelsea U21
2.74 xG 1.90
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
222 Passes 331
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crystal Palace U21 vs Chelsea U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crystal Palace U21 and Chelsea U21 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chelsea U21 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Crystal Palace U21 had 42% of the ball to Chelsea U21's 58%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.74 to 1.90.

What was the final score of Crystal Palace U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Crystal Palace U21 2-2 Chelsea U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crystal Palace U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Crystal Palace U21 26%, draw 32%, Chelsea U21 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chelsea U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chelsea U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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