Guangzhou Dandelion 0-1 Shanghai Port II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.68
Over 2.5
55%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.85
No
40%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
56%
-10.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
44%
+10.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
50%
+9.6pp
40%
BTTS No
50%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guangzhou Dandelion EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Port II EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
Crosses 6.9
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guangzhou Dandelion
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shanghai Port II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.36 xG 2.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 26
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
302 Passes 198
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 35
17 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Shanghai Port II Shanghai Port II 2-2 HT 0-2 Guangzhou Dandelion ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guangzhou Dandelion
0-1
AWAY Shanghai Port II
0.88 xG 0.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
400 Passes 221
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 8
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shanghai Port II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shanghai Port II nicked a narrow win over Guangzhou Dandelion 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Guangzhou Dandelion at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guangzhou Dandelion had 61% of the ball to Shanghai Port II's 39%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.88 to 0.38 — on chances, Guangzhou Dandelion could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shanghai Port II?

Guangzhou Dandelion 0-1 Shanghai Port II in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shanghai Port II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guangzhou Dandelion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Guangzhou Dandelion 41%, draw 24%, Shanghai Port II 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guangzhou Dandelion) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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