Xian Ronghai 2-2 Hainan Star — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.82
No
40%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
51%
+8.7pp
40%
BTTS No
49%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xian Ronghai EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Hainan Star EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
0.85/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.37
-13% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
304 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 80%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
12.6 Crosses 16.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xian Ronghai
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Hainan Star
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.50 xG 0.77
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 5
133 Passes 176
59% Pass Accuracy 59%
12 Box Touches 14
8 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Hainan Star Hainan Star 0-0 HT 0-0 Xian Ronghai Xian Ronghai ÇİN2
22.09.2024 Hainan Star Hainan Star 2-1 HT 2-0 Xian Ronghai Xian Ronghai ÇİN2
16.08.2024 Xian Ronghai Xian Ronghai 0-1 HT 0-1 Hainan Star Hainan Star ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Xian Ronghai
2-2
AWAY Hainan Star
1.02 xG 0.93
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 3
117 Passes 367
54% Pass Accuracy 78%
13 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Xian Ronghai vs Hainan Star
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Xian Ronghai and Hainan Star couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Xian Ronghai had 32% of the ball to Hainan Star's 68%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.02 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hainan Star led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Xian Ronghai and 1.00 for Hainan Star.

What was the final score of Xian Ronghai vs Hainan Star?

Xian Ronghai 2-2 Hainan Star in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xian Ronghai vs Hainan Star?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xian Ronghai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Xian Ronghai 39%, draw 26%, Hainan Star 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Xian Ronghai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xian Ronghai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN2 More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division
4 Oct 2025
00:00 Hangzhou Linping vs Guangdong Mingtu Analysis →
10:30 Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar Analysis →
10:30 Langfang Glory City vs Guangdong Mingtu Analysis →
11:00 Guangzhou Dandelion vs Shanghai Port II Analysis →
14:30 Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Red Lions Analysis →
14:30 Foshan Nanshi vs Dalian Huayi Analysis →