Nantong Zhiyun 7-1 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.72
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.01
6+ Goals
8%
9.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 33% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nantong Zhiyun EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.28/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.24
+51% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.2
22.0 Crosses 16.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.48 xG 1.19
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 1
216 Passes 420
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2025 Qingdao Red Lions Qingdao Red Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Nantong Zhiyun Nantong Zhiyun ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nantong Zhiyun
7-1
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions
1.60 xG 2.42
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 10
11 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
386 Passes 228
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
30 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nantong Zhiyun ran out comfortable winners over Qingdao Red Lions 7-1. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nantong Zhiyun as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Nantong Zhiyun had 61% of the ball to Qingdao Red Lions's 39%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 1.60 to 2.42 — on chances, Qingdao Red Lions could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Nantong Zhiyun 7-1 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nantong Zhiyun vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nantong Zhiyun win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Nantong Zhiyun 57%, draw 23%, Qingdao Red Lions 20%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nantong Zhiyun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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