Quanzhou Yassin 1-1 Hubei Istar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
47%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quanzhou Yassin EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Hubei Istar EU Bookmakers 48%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -55% / -55%
1.16/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.41
-36% / +92% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
16.4 Crosses 13.0
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quanzhou Yassin
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Hubei Istar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.59 xG 1.11
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
170 Passes 315
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2025 Hubei Istar Hubei Istar 0-0 HT 0-0 Quanzhou Yassin Quanzhou Yassin ÇİN2
12.10.2024 Quanzhou Yassin Quanzhou Yassin 2-1 HT 1-0 Hubei Istar Hubei Istar ÇİN2
07.09.2024 Hubei Istar Hubei Istar 4-1 HT 2-1 Quanzhou Yassin Quanzhou Yassin ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quanzhou Yassin
1-1
AWAY Hubei Istar
2.30 xG 0.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
23 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
233 Passes 202
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quanzhou Yassin and Hubei Istar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hubei Istar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Quanzhou Yassin had 52% of the ball to Hubei Istar's 48%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 2.30 to 0.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Quanzhou Yassin and 1.67 for Hubei Istar.

What was the final score of Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar?

Quanzhou Yassin 1-1 Hubei Istar in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quanzhou Yassin vs Hubei Istar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hubei Istar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Quanzhou Yassin 27%, draw 26%, Hubei Istar 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hubei Istar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hubei Istar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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