Gateshead 1-3 Boston United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Oct 2025

Gateshead
1-3 HT 1-1
Boston United
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Gateshead vs Boston United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
2.0
Over 2.5
42%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.54
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.11
6+ Goals
8%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 28% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.31
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
15%
5.37
X/2
12%
6.21
X/X
18%
5.04
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
15%
4.13
2/X
5%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-4.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
46%
+11.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
54%
-11.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gateshead v Boston United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gateshead EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Boston United EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.10/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.04
-23% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
39 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 34 · 95%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.7

Gateshead vs Boston United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gateshead
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Boston United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.04.2025 Boston United Boston United 2-1 HT 2-1 Gateshead Gateshead İBSL
24.09.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 2-0 Boston United Boston United İBSL
19.03.2022 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
09.10.2021 Gateshead Gateshead 3-1 HT 3-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
25.07.2020 Boston United Boston United 5-3 HT 2-1 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
25.02.2020 Boston United Boston United 0-3 HT 0-2 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
POST-MATCH Gateshead vs Boston United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United got the better of Gateshead 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 29% / 34%) promised a tight game; Boston United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gateshead and 1.50 for Boston United.

What was the final score of Gateshead vs Boston United?

Gateshead 1-3 Boston United in the England - National League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gateshead vs Boston United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gateshead win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gateshead 37%, draw 29%, Boston United 34%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gateshead), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gateshead) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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