Boston United 2-1 Gateshead — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 26 Apr 2025

Boston United
2-1 HT 2-1
Gateshead
📅26/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Boston United vs Gateshead Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.97
Over
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.51
2-3
42%
1.79
4-5
21%
3.18
6+
8%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.51 — our 29% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.28
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
14%
5.33
X/2
11%
6.33
X/X
13%
5.05
2/1
10%
25.0
2/2
12%
4.27
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boston United v Gateshead — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boston United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gateshead EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +2%
1.63/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.32
+14% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
59 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 53 · 95%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Boston United vs Gateshead Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boston United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Gateshead
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.09.2024 Gateshead Gateshead 2-0 HT 2-0 Boston United Boston United İBSL
19.03.2022 Boston United Boston United 1-2 HT 1-1 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
09.10.2021 Gateshead Gateshead 3-1 HT 3-1 Boston United Boston United İCON
25.07.2020 Boston United Boston United 5-3 HT 2-1 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
25.02.2020 Boston United Boston United 0-3 HT 0-2 Gateshead Gateshead İCON
14.09.2019 Gateshead Gateshead 3-0 HT 0-0 Boston United Boston United İCON
POST-MATCH Boston United vs Gateshead
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boston United nicked a narrow win over Gateshead 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boston United as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gateshead led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Boston United and 2.67 for Gateshead.

What was the final score of Boston United vs Gateshead?

Boston United 2-1 Gateshead in the England - National League on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boston United vs Gateshead?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boston United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Boston United 41%, draw 28%, Gateshead 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boston United) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boston United) ✗ Under 2.5
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