Tamworth 1-1 Morecambe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.98
4-5 Goals
23%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.66
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
6%
17.05
X/1
14%
4.09
X/2
5%
14.45
X/X
11%
7.75
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.1
2/2
4%
10.95
2/X
4%
19.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.1 — our 11% vs market 2.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+0.7pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.2pp
13%
Away Win
15%
-1.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Morecambe EU Bookmakers 18%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.57/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/3.66
+32% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -51%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
208 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 113 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Morecambe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
30.12.2006 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İBSL
19.09.2006 Morecambe Morecambe 0-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
15.04.2006 Tamworth Tamworth 0-3 HT 0-2 Morecambe Morecambe İBSL
03.09.2005 Morecambe Morecambe 0-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY Morecambe
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Morecambe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and Morecambe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Tamworth at 67% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tamworth had 43% of the ball to Morecambe's 57%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Morecambe led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tamworth and 1.00 for Morecambe.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Morecambe?

Tamworth 1-1 Morecambe in the England - National League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Morecambe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 67%, draw 20%, Morecambe 13%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tamworth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
4 Oct 2025
14:30 Hartlepool United vs York City Analysis →
14:30 Gateshead vs Boston United Analysis →
17:00 Braintree Town vs Sutton United Analysis →
17:00 Eastleigh vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
17:00 Yeovil vs Boreham Wood Analysis →
17:00 Halifax Town vs Brackley Town Analysis →