Hartlepool United vs York City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hartlepool United v York City — Team-Based Signals
Hartlepool United vs York City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Hartlepool United
İBSL
2-1
HT 0-1
Hartlepool United
HAZ
2-1
HT 1-1
York City
İN2
Hartlepool United 1-2 York City — Actual Match Statistics
York City nicked a narrow win over Hartlepool United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Hartlepool United had 43% of the ball to York City's 57%, shots finished 14-19.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.83 for York City.
What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs York City?
Hartlepool United 1-2 York City in the England - National League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs York City?
Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 26%, draw 21%, York City 53%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.