Hartlepool United 0-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.02
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
8%
14.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 26.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.65
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
12%
6.46
X/2
14%
5.02
X/X
9%
4.56
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
15%
3.15
2/X
10%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.3pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartlepool United EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.46/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.02
+14% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +26%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
310 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartlepool United
4W-0D-2L
AWAY York City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
2 Passes 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 York City York City 5-3 HT 2-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
27.01.2024 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
18.11.2023 York City York City 1-3 HT 0-2 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İBSL
17.07.2019 York City York City 2-1 HT 0-1 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United HAZ
16.04.2016 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United 2-1 HT 1-1 York City York City İN2
15.08.2015 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-0 Hartlepool United Hartlepool United İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartlepool United
0-1
AWAY York City
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
0 Passes 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hartlepool United vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City edged past Hartlepool United 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 35% — and on the day York City made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Hartlepool United had 45% of the ball to York City's 55%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hartlepool United had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hartlepool United and 1.83 for York City.

What was the final score of Hartlepool United vs York City?

Hartlepool United 0-1 York City in the England - National League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartlepool United vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hartlepool United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hartlepool United 37%, draw 28%, York City 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hartlepool United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hartlepool United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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