Yeovil 2-2 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Mar 2025

📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.59
Over 2.5
32%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.96
No
61%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
15%
4.5
6+ Goals
7%
25.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.36 — our 38% vs market 34.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.59
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
12%
14.25
X/1
11%
5.92
X/2
9%
5.0
X/X
13%
3.92
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.54
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
59%
+9.4pp
32%
Over 2.5
41%
-9.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.5pp
61%
BTTS No
53%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
0.90/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.79
-31% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
221 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Southend United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2024 Southend United Southend United 0-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
14.10.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United FAK
01.04.2023 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
01.10.2022 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
26.03.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 2-0 HT 2-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
11.01.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 1-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
2-2
AWAY Southend United
37% Ball Possession 63%
3 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
2 Passes 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil and Southend United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yeovil had 37% of the ball to Southend United's 63%, shots finished 3-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yeovil and 0.83 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Southend United?

Yeovil 2-2 Southend United in the England - National League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 31%, draw 31%, Southend United 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
1 Mar 2025
18:00 Hartlepool United vs York City Analysis →
18:00 Ebbsfleet United vs Tamworth Analysis →
18:00 Forest Green Rovers vs Maidenhead United Analysis →
18:00 Oldham Athletic vs Barnet Analysis →
18:00 Braintree Town vs Eastleigh Analysis →
18:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Boston United Analysis →