Ebbsfleet United 2-3 Tamworth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 1 Mar 2025

Ebbsfleet United
2-3 HT 1-3
Tamworth
📅01/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Ebbsfleet United vs Tamworth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.39
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.9
X/1
9%
7.17
X/2
20%
4.71
X/X
8%
4.56
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.83
2/X
10%
13.15
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ebbsfleet United v Tamworth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Tamworth EU Bookmakers 49%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.04/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/0.81
-20% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
130 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 147 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards –

Ebbsfleet United vs Tamworth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ebbsfleet United
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Tamworth
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Passes 1
6 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Tamworth Tamworth 1-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
16.04.2013 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
27.10.2012 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.01.2012 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
16.08.2011 Tamworth Tamworth 1-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.04.2010 Tamworth Tamworth 3-4 HT 2-2 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Ebbsfleet United 2-3 Tamworth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ebbsfleet United
2-3
AWAY Tamworth
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
0 Passes 2
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ebbsfleet United vs Tamworth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth edged past Ebbsfleet United 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tamworth as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ebbsfleet United had 50% of the ball to Tamworth's 50%, shots finished 11-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ebbsfleet United and 1.00 for Tamworth.

What was the final score of Ebbsfleet United vs Tamworth?

Ebbsfleet United 2-3 Tamworth in the England - National League on 01/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ebbsfleet United vs Tamworth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ebbsfleet United 27%, draw 29%, Tamworth 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tamworth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tamworth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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