Tamworth 1-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 9 Nov 2024

Tamworth
1-1 HT 0-1
Ebbsfleet United
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Tamworth vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.22
6+ Goals
11%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
6%
8.83
X/X
9%
5.3
2/1
11%
22.3
2/2
12%
6.53
2/X
11%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tamworth v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 26%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
2.72/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/2.08
+57% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -28%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.1

Tamworth vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
The Meetings
16.04.2013 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
27.10.2012 Tamworth Tamworth 0-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.01.2012 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
16.08.2011 Tamworth Tamworth 1-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
24.04.2010 Tamworth Tamworth 3-4 HT 2-2 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
21.11.2009 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-1 HT 0-1 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL

Tamworth 1-1 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
1 Passes 1
1 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and Ebbsfleet United shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tamworth at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Tamworth had 57% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 43%, shots finished 17-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tamworth and 1.50 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Ebbsfleet United?

Tamworth 1-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 49%, draw 27%, Ebbsfleet United 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Tamworth), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tamworth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
9 Nov 2024
15:30 York City vs Hartlepool United Analysis →
15:30 Aldershot Town vs Wealdstone Analysis →
18:00 Halifax Town vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Maidenhead United vs Forest Green Rovers Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Altrincham Analysis →
18:00 Rochdale vs Sutton United Analysis →