Scunthorpe United 0-1 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.91
Over
51%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.64
No
44%
2.12
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.32
2-3
46%
1.75
4-5
23%
3.25
6+
6%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.47
1/2
3%
29.0
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
14%
5.45
X/2
12%
6.01
X/X
16%
4.85
2/1
3%
26.0
2/2
19%
4.03
2/X
5%
13.2
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Scunthorpe United The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.46 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.48
1.22 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.44
Average Attack Strength Great
Average Defense Strength
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
117 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 112 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Scunthorpe United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carlisle United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.01 xG 0.99
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
246 Passes 204
64% Pass Accuracy 60%
15 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.01.2022 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-1 HT 0-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
18.09.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-2 HT 0-2 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
06.04.2021 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
26.09.2020 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-0 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
31.08.2019 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 0-1 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
12.02.2013 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-1 HT 2-1 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Scunthorpe United
0 - 1
AWAY Carlisle United
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Scunthorpe United vs Carlisle United
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Carlisle United found just enough to beat Scunthorpe United 1-0 on the road.

The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 27% / 34%); Carlisle United picked one for it. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 53% to 47% in Scunthorpe United's favour, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Scunthorpe United against 1.17 for Carlisle United.

Scunthorpe United vs Carlisle United Result & Final Score

Scunthorpe United 0 - 1 Carlisle United in the England - National League on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Scunthorpe United vs Carlisle United Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Scunthorpe United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Scunthorpe United 39%, draw 27%, Carlisle United 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Scunthorpe United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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