AFC Telford United 1-3 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Oct 2025

AFC Telford United
1-3 HT 1-0
AFC Fylde
📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Conference – 2025/2026

AFC Telford United vs AFC Fylde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
45%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.11
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
9%
8.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.6pp
45%
Away Win
39%
+6.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+6.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-6.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.1pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Telford United v AFC Fylde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 43%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.22/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.33
-8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

AFC Telford United vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
0W-1D-4L
AWAY AFC Fylde
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
11.02.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-3 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
03.09.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 3-1 HT 2-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
15.03.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
20.11.2021 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-2 HT 1-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON
09.01.2021 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON

AFC Telford United 1-3 AFC Fylde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
1-3
AWAY AFC Fylde
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde beat AFC Telford United 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Fylde as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 34% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 66%, shots finished 7-12.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for AFC Telford United and 2.20 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs AFC Fylde?

AFC Telford United 1-3 AFC Fylde in the England - Conference on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 32%, draw 23%, AFC Fylde 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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