Macclesfield 0-1 Marine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.27
6+ Goals
8%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.31 — our 30% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Macclesfield EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Marine EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.76
+23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Macclesfield
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Marine
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
06.05.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 1-2 HT 0-1 Marine Marine İNGNLP
02.03.2024 Macclesfield Macclesfield 2-1 HT 2-1 Marine Marine İNGNLP
17.10.2023 Marine Marine 1-2 HT 0-1 Macclesfield Macclesfield İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Macclesfield
0-1
AWAY Marine
67% Ball Possession 33%
7 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Macclesfield vs Marine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine nicked a narrow win over Macclesfield 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Macclesfield at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Macclesfield had 67% of the ball to Marine's 33%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Macclesfield had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Macclesfield and 1.33 for Marine.

What was the final score of Macclesfield vs Marine?

Macclesfield 0-1 Marine in the England - Conference on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Macclesfield vs Marine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Macclesfield win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Macclesfield 42%, draw 26%, Marine 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Macclesfield), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Macclesfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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