Stirling Albion 2-2 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.17
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.82
6+ Goals
13%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
33%
-1.7pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.1pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.37/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.19
+3% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
310 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
15 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 0
15.07.2025 Dumbarton Dumbarton 1-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İKLK
11.05.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
07.05.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
18.04.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
25.03.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
08.10.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 6-0 HT 4-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion and Dumbarton couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Dumbarton at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stirling Albion and 0.83 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?

Stirling Albion 2-2 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dumbarton win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 32%, draw 21%, Dumbarton 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dumbarton) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dumbarton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
4 Oct 2025
17:00 Clyde vs East Kilbride Analysis →
17:00 Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Stranraer vs Annan Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Spartans vs Edinburgh City Analysis →