Dumbarton 1-0 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 15 Jul 2025

📅15/07/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
10%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.5pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 37%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.00/2.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.02/2.40
-30% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -51%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dumbarton
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
11.05.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-0 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
07.05.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-1 HT 1-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
18.04.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
25.03.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 1-1 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
08.10.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 6-0 HT 4-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
30.07.2022 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-0 HT 2-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
POST-MATCH Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton squeezed past Stirling Albion 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 38% — and on the day Dumbarton made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dumbarton and 1.50 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Dumbarton 1-0 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - League Cup on 15/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dumbarton vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stirling Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dumbarton 32%, draw 31%, Stirling Albion 38%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stirling Albion) ✗ BTTS Yes
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