Elgin City 2-1 Forfar Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 4 Oct 2025

📅04/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.72
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.48/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/0.92
+6% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +53%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 5.0
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Forfar Athletic
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
08.03.2025 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
11.01.2025 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.11.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
31.08.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
23.03.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 1-1 HT 1-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
13.01.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City edged past Forfar Athletic 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elgin City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forfar Athletic led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Elgin City and 1.17 for Forfar Athletic.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Elgin City 2-1 Forfar Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 04/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Forfar Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 41%, draw 30%, Forfar Athletic 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✗ Under 2.5
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